• U.S. and Israel Start War With Iran 🔗

    From Tom Nichols in the Atlantic.

    This is not a preemptive war. It is a war of choice, a discretionary war. It is a war for regime change. Many of Iran’s 92 million people want the regime removed. But it is far from certain that this will be the outcome.

  • China Could Invade Taiwan by 2027 🔗

    In July 2023, three prominent chief executives, Tim Cook of Apple, Jensen Huang of Nvidia and Lisa Su of Advanced Micro Devices, entered a secure briefing room in Silicon Valley. Cristiano Amon, the chief executive of Qualcomm, joined by video. They listened as Mr. Burns and Ms. Haines said China’s military spending could mean a move on Taiwan in 2027.

    Perhaps this is the invasion the Trump administration should be focused on instead of looking for a pretext to invade Iran.

  • Did Trump Call Into C-SPAN Using Alias? 🔗

    During sane times, no one would possibly believe the person residing in the White House would do something like this, but that’s not the times we’re living in. He’s nuttier than a fruitcake, so it would not surprise me in the least if this were actually him.

  • Vibe Coding is Coming Into Its Own 🔗

    Paul Ford in a NY Times Op-Ed.

    November was, for me and many others in tech, a great surprise. Before, A.I. coding tools were often useful, but halting and clumsy. Now, the bot can run for a full hour and make whole, designed websites and apps that may be flawed, but credible.

  • The Richest of the Rich Own the Equivalent of a Entire State 🔗

    Gabriel Zucman, posting on Bluesky,

    The pace at which US wealth concentration is rising is simply staggering.

    And he shared this graph showing that the 19 richest Americans now account for nearly 2% of all U.S. wealth (or, you know, like, the equivalent of an entire state’s wealth).

    Wealth of the top 0.00001% as a share of total US wealth (showing an increase over time to 2% in February 2026)

    While I agree this is an appalling concentration of wealth, I’d argue the focus on the top 0.00001% risks missing the point. We could redistribute the wealth of all those individuals and we still wouldn’t make a dent in the overall wealth disparity in this country.

    The real problem is that the bottom 50% controls virtually no wealth while the top 10% controls nearly 70% of U.S. wealth. That is the concentration of wealth that needs to be addressed.

    U.S. Net Worth Distribution Since 1989 (Sows that Top10% have had an increasing share of U.S. wealth over time)
  • Our Worst President 🔗

    Jonathan Alter, writing in the Washington Monthly, has a timely reminder that the Trump presidency will end, if not particularly soon or without damage.

    But Trump has no road back now; the country as a whole is finished with him. This period reminds me of 1943, when the Allies knew we would eventually defeat the fascists, but only after a lot more death and destruction. It took nearly three years then, too.

    I found myself largely agreeing with Alter’s summary of Trump abuses that will get the most attention by future historians, though I would add a fourth. Namely, his dismantling of our public health system could easily result in far more death and misery than his other policy changes combined.

    I do disagree with Alter on what he sees as the best option impeachment.

    So the best option is to impeach and convict Trump between Election Day, 2028 (assuming it brings a Democratic president) and Inauguration Day, 2029, with the help of new Democratic senators elected that year and sworn in by early January, plus a few Republican senators trying to get right with their constituents and their grandchildren. The Senate should make the conviction effective at 11:59 a.m. on January 20. That way, Trump is stained by removal from office, and Vance is remembered as the one-minute president who didn’t even get the chance to be sworn in.

    His suggestion is just a revenge fantasy that’ll never happen. I don’t see what purpose it would serve.

  • Welcome

    I love my country. I’m ashamed of my country. I’m deeply afraid of where my country is going.

    The United States is facing a terrible moment. We have an ignoramus for a president. Our country is competing (poorly) with China to be the predominant superpower. AI is poised to shatter the middle class job market bringing about either a golden age of leisure (highly unlikely) or another Great Depression (unfortunately much more likely). Humanity itself faces an existential threat of climate change. And in this moment the American public is more divided, more fractured, more untrusting of one another than at any other time in my lifetime. Never before have I heard people talk so openly, and so glibly, about the prospect of a new civil war.

    That, in a nutshell, is why I’m starting this blog. To bear witness to the moment, to try to understand it, to try, in my own little way, to help us collectively work through it. But to do any of that, I need a place to organize my thoughts. I needed a place to collect information. I need a place, perhaps, to scream into the void. This blog is my attempt to create such a place for myself.

    My eldest daughter is in her first year of college and is taking her first sociology class. She just shared with me that they are currently learning about the sociological imagination: connecting personal troubles with public issues. That, ultimately, is whatI hope to do here: through the lens of my personal experience, interpret the historical and structural forces acting upon us all. I hope you’ll come along with me and find some value in the exercise.